IMD predicts ‘normal winter’ for Jammu and Kashmir

Temperatures likely to remain within expected range in Dec, Jan, Feb
IMD predicts ‘normal winter’ for Jammu and Kashmir
MUbashir Khan/GK

The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted that Jammu and Kashmir will witness a 'normal winter' as temperatures will remain within expected range. The IMD said this in its winter forecast – "Seasonal temperature outlook from December 2019 to February 2020" – which was issued on Friday.

"There is relatively higher probability for normal minimumtemperatures in the core cold wave zone during December 2019 to February 2020,"reads the temperature outlook issued by the IMD. The core cold wave zone coversstates of Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Delhi, Haryana, Rajasthan,Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Jharkhand, WestBengal, Orissa and Telangana and MeT subdivisions of Jammu, Kashmir &Ladakh, the outlook says.

However, IMD forecast says that except northern most partsof the county, other parts are likely to experience "warmer than averageminimum temperatures."

An IMD official told Greater Kashmir: "Interaction of coldwinds blowing southwards from polar region with the western disturbances haslead to very heavy precipitation in the form of recent snowfall across Kashmir.The scenario is likely to prolong during current winter season. Continuous flowof western disturbances will help to keep the minimum temperatures in normalrange."

Commenting on the IMD temperature outlook, Director MeT,Sonam Lotus said it is a long range outlook, which will become more specific asand when peak winter days approach.

"It is a general outlook issued for December to Februaryperiod. We will be also keep updating with more specific forecasts in days tocome," Lotus said.

This year Kashmir received its heaviest November snowfallrecorded during the last four decades. As per snowfall records maintained bythe Meteorological Department, which is available for last four decades, 96millimetre equivalent snowfall recorded between November 6-7, 2019, is theheaviest ever 24-hour snowfall recorded in the month of November since 1980.

This has lead to some of the most intense cold days acrossthe Valley so far. As per MeT data, during November 2019 Kashmir saw almost 200per cent more snow and rain compared to the precipitation witnessed in November2018.

In November 2018, rain and snowfall in Kashmir was 132 percent above normal precipitation. However, in November 2019 precipitation hasbeen more than 313 per cent above normal.

While Gulmarg had measured 4.5 feet of snow on November 7,the plains received 1-2 feet of snow.

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