PREVIEW | Black Cap Challenge | New Zealand seam attack vs Indian top-order

It has been a dream World Cup campaign for Virat Kohli’s men and now everything boils down to having two perfect days.

The quest starts with the semifinal clash against NewZealand here on Tuesday. And though the formidable Indian top-order, led bytournament top-scorer Rohit Sharma, is expected to deliver, New Zealand’s seamattack will also be ready and waiting to knock at the corridor of uncertainty.

   

It has been a campaign in which Kohli and his men have beensuccessfully able to hide their chinks even without a suitable ‘Plan B’ butthey don’t have an option of letting the script go awry anymore.

The sub-plots promise to be fascinating — Rohit trying tohook a Lockie Ferguson bouncer, KL Rahul negotiating one from Trent Boult thatcould tail in, Kohli smashing Matt Henry all around.

Or it could be Kane Williamson’s near perfect techniqueagainst spinners or Ross Taylor trying to get a grip of Jasprit Bumrah.

Last but not the least is whether Mahendra Singh Dhoni isable to get a hang of Mitchell Santner’s slow left-arm orthodox bowling havingwatched him closely at the Chennai Super Kings nets.

A near flawless campaign could come to a naught against agutsy Black Caps side which has always asked probing questions in ICCtournaments.

To India’s comfort, New Zealand’s tournament has gone on adownward spiral during their last three games but their initial good workhelped them beat Pakistan to a last four spot.

But it couldn’t have been more enticing that Rohit (647), KLRahul (360)  and Virat Kohli (442) with acumulative contribution of 1347 runs will meet their match in Ferguson (17wickets), Boult (15 wickets) and Matt Henry (10 wickets), who have shared 42wickets between them.

Not to forget that all-rounder Jimmy Neesham (11 wickets)and Colin de Grandhomme (5 wickets) take the seamers’ tally to 58 wickets.

‘Law of averages’ can be a worry for India simply becausethe top-order hasn’t had a failure as such, even the loss against England sawRohit and Kohli score runs.

The middle-order hasn’t yet faced a ’30 for 3 day’ in thecompetition and Boult’s first spell under a cloudy Manchester sky couldunsettle the best in the business.

Also save Hardik Pandya, the other middle-order batsmenhaven’t inspired the highest confidence and that includes Dhoni despite his 293runs and a 90 plus strike-rate.

He has scored runs on some tricky wickets but he would becertainly hoping for a lot more against the Black Caps. What could go in hisfavour is the pace at which Henry and Ferguson would bowl. If his horizontalbat shots get going, Dhoni will be a different player to deal with.

New Zealand’s ‘achilles heel’ has been their batting as nonefrom their top-order, save Williamson (481 runs), have been able to stamp theirauthority.

Bumrah didn’t play the last bilateral series in New Zealandand he could prove to be more than a handful for the horribly out of formMartin Guptill (166) and Colin Munro (125).

New Zealand’s poor batting is reflected from the fact thatsave Williamson, the only other top-order player to have crossed an aggregateof 250 runs is Ross Taylor (261).

In terms of batting, they are no match for India where amuch criticised Dhoni has also scored near 300 runs.

India will fancy bowling first considering Bumrah andMohammed Shami’s good form.

However, there could be some changes in the line-up asnumber of right-handers in the New Zealand line-up may prompt India to drop oneof the two wrist spinners.

Yuzvendra Chahal, according to Kohli, was a forced change inthe last game and it’s still not clear whether there’s been an injury issue.

Ravindra Jadeja was accurate in his first appearance and hecould be in consideration.

In case India go in with three seamers, includingBhuvneshwar Kumar, then Kedar Jadhav, with his round-arm off-spin apart fromcheeky strokes, could once again replace Dinesh Karthik in the middle-order.

In the end, on a knock-out day,  Kohli wouldn’t mind an inside edge to missstumps or go for a boundary when batting and enjoy the benefits of a horriblemix-up between opposition batsmen while fielding.

That’s the slice of luck everyone needs apart from the 99percent effort on a big day.

The only time India played in a World Cup semifinals inEngland was at the Old Trafford, in their trophy-winning campaign of 1983 whenthey had faced the hosts. England would be up against Australia in the secondsemifinal on July 11 in Birmingham.

Squads:

India: Virat Kohli (captain), Rohit Sharma, KL Rahul,Rishabh Pant, MS Dhoni (wk), Hardik Pandya, Dinesh Karthik, Yuzvendra Chahal,Kuldeep Yadav, Bhuvneshwar Kumar, Mohanmmed Shami, Jasprit Bumrah, MayankAgarwal, Ravindra Jadeja, Kedar Jadhav

New Zealand: Kane Williamson (captain), Martin Guptill, Colin Munro, Ross Taylor, Tom Latham (wk), Tom Blundell, Colin de Grandhomme, Jimmy Neesham, Trent Boult, Lockie Ferguson, Matt Henry, Mitchell Samtner, Henry Nicholls, Tim Southee, Ish Sodhi. Match Starts 3 pm. PTI

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