Finally, the unthinkable has happened. An alliance has formed around the world united in hostility to Muslims. Trump's election as US President means that there is now an unholy alliance of four nuclear powers in the world – Modi's India, Netanyahu's Israel, Putin's Russia, and Trump's America – determined to make lasting changes in their relationships with the Muslim world.
Although there has always been cooperation between India and Israel and between India and Russia, it would have seemed inconceivable only a few years ago that Putin's Russia would ever find common ground with the US, much less a Republican-led America. Yet, the unthinkable has happened. We now have a Republican President who admires Putin and wants to work closely with him, and who is willing to renege on his country's obligations under the NATO treaty in order to avoid offending Putin.
What are the aims of this alliance vis-a-vis the Muslim world? There are no common aims. Although this alliance is united in its hostility to Muslims, the aims are local to each participant. The aim of Trump and the future far-right leaders who will soon take over Europe is to stop Muslim immigration to the West (and potentially to expel them from the West). Their aim is also to attack Iran and prevent it from acquiring nuclear weapons. They would also like to prevent democratic governments forming in the Arab world, such as the Muslim Brotherhood and to protect old dictatorial regimes. Trump has not only expressed his desire to see close relations with Russia, Israel and India, but also his desire to see continued settlement building by Israel in occupied Palestinian territories.
Pakistan has also become a target for this new far-right Western group. Its nuclear weapons are not acceptable to the Western alliance. In fact, the dismemberment and denuclearisation of the only Muslim nuclear state must be the only common aim of the new alliance. Trump has stated that he would like to station at least 10,000 US troops close to the Pakistan border in order to "keep an eye" on Pakistan's nuclear weapons. Maybe such troops could also play a role in fomenting trouble in Balochistan or thwarting the completion of CPEC?
Russia has expansionist ambitions in Central Asia. Putin has declared that he would like to reverse the territorial losses that Russia suffered as a result of the collapse of the USSR. This means annexing territories with significant Russian populations in Europe such as Ukraine (as he has already done), but importantly also means recapturing Central Asia. He recently challenged the historical basis of the Kazakhstan state (which has a large ethnic Russian population) and has pressured Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan to join his Eurasian Union. He may well decide to send troops to seize Muslim Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan with their mineral riches, rather than wasting efforts on the Baltic republics or Eastern Europe (which would invite retaliation by Europe and NATO). Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan have been lulled into thinking that their independence will be respected by Putin and are only now waking up to the importance of developing alliances with China and other powers.
The Israeli far-right's aim appears to be to demolish the possibility of a viable Palestinian state and to seize the occupied Palestinian territories, combined with the expulsion of the ethnic Palestinian population to other Arab states. The Israeli minister Naftali Bennett said that Trump's election put an end to the idea of an independent Palestinian state.
Finally, India's aim under Modi appears to be the removal of Article 370, followed by the settlement of non-state subjects in Jammu & Kashmir, as well as the further dismemberment of Pakistan by sponsoring insurgencies in Balochistan and the tribal areas, with Afghan and (now) American support. Its aim, most likely shared by Trump, is also to deny China the CPEC route (so that Chinese trade, including oil shipments, remains at the mercy of the Indian and American navies).
Can the aims of this alliance be thwarted? It is unlikely that the Muslim world can create an overarching alliance to counter these four powers. However, at a local level there are forces which can work together and ally with other friendly powers to counter the designs of the right-wing alliance. The Western far-right's aims are difficult to thwart, given that it now controls the instruments of state power and has at its disposal the military might of several of the richest countries in the world. The only way for Muslims to protect themselves is to voluntarily leave the Western world and return to their countries of origin. This applies especially to those living in the United States. The Muslims must take a lesson from the Jewish experience in Europe in the 1930s and the Holocaust; prevention is better than succumbing to genocide. It is imperative for Muslims to start leaving hostile places and return to safe, Muslim-majority areas. This also applies to Indian Muslims in states where they are a tiny minority such as Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra: they should move to majority areas such as Kerala, West Bengal and Kashmir.
In the South Asian theatre, Pakistan has managed to develop a protective shield in the form of China. It helps that Trump is staunchly anti-China (as is Modi) and wants to impose punitive tariffs on Chinese imports, which could cause the export sector of that country to collapse. It is likely that China will intervene to prevent an Indo-American attempt to break up Pakistan, sabotage CPEC or seize Pakistan's nuclear weapons (which China has helped Pakistan develop). Pakistan is also likely to react to any attempt to remove Article 370 in Kashmir or to change the demography of the state. Kashmir is, therefore, in a much better position to weather the coming storm compared to Palestine or other regions. Pakistan should also develop close relations with other Muslim countries such as Iran, Turkey, Kazakhstan, and Indonesia, as well as further strengthening its relationship with China.